How to predict price movement on FOREX?

When you see big rise without pullback, how to understand where price could be reversed? For this reason you should look at the bigger time frame. For example situation which happened today on EUR/USD (6E). Price grew till rebound from big volume of accumulation. 1.14 - is very important level which was accumulated during last years. And price reversed from it. If you trade intraday it was a good opportunity for you.