Very interesting presentation of Dan Gilbert on TED Talks. Together with Daniel Kahneman I consider them one of the best modern scholars studying probability. They are explaining very simple  how best to use it. And also give many examples of how a lot of peoples  incorrectly decide. It will be very useful for all traders. If you use the market profile you already have a statistical advantage. In order to calculate likely do not need to be a good mathematician enough if you have the logic and you know simple formulas.

Enjoy the performance!